Fitelson diagnoses my philosophical view

[gusl]

me- aren't all these philosophical questions, questions about AI? (unifying epistemic logic with probability, coherentism, etc)

somebody- what about metaphysics?

me- irrelevant things are, well, irrelevant.

Fitelson- early Hempel meets Herbert Simon!

me- ...uhmmm.. ok...

I haven't read any Hempel.

Comments

[bondage-and-tea.livejournal.com]

Tell me about Hempel, then. I feel terribly ignorant.

[gustavolacerda.livejournal.com]

let me leave you with a picture of non-black non-ravens:



(all I know about Hempel is at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_Hempel )

[amoken.livejournal.com]

On a related note in psychology:
Patricia Cheng at UCLA has some equations describing how (untrained) people actually estimate and adjust probabilities of causation mentally. As you'd expect, they don't necessarily jive with Bayes' Theorem. :)

[gustavolacerda.livejournal.com]

ooooh. I ended up meeting her much later, in July 2007. did you study with her?

[amoken.livejournal.com]

Not exactly. I was doing some programming work for her. She's a brilliant scientist, but a bit of a Feeling personality, if I can stoop to the Myers-Briggs model for a moment. She had some expectations/assumptions that she didn't relay to me and she didn't check up on as time went by, so I ended up not finishing the project with her. Basically it relied on someone else's unfinished project, which she told me to assist with (for pay) inasmuch as it would help with her project. Unfortunately she didn't understand the amount of time required to do that, despite me occasionally providing estimates. It's too bad; the project was kind of cool. I was implementing her probabilistic causation model within a framework for analogy-making.